Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.023137 0.025523 0.027899 0.030436 0.033063 0.035700 0.038540
2025-02-09 0.017736 0.021473 0.025325 0.029563 0.034068 0.038690 0.043771
2025-02-16 0.014741 0.019361 0.024262 0.029778 0.035753 0.041977 0.048908
2025-02-23 0.012292 0.017498 0.023175 0.029693 0.036864 0.044426 0.052931
2025-03-02 0.010197 0.015794 0.022068 0.029410 0.037599 0.046327 0.056225
2025-03-09 0.008539 0.014425 0.021204 0.029275 0.038390 0.048192 0.059384
2025-03-16 0.006818 0.012811 0.019936 0.028580 0.038468 0.049199 0.061536
2025-03-23 0.005744 0.011894 0.019410 0.028670 0.039370 0.051061 0.064570
2025-03-30 0.004577 0.010734 0.018512 0.028264 0.039656 0.052195 0.066761
2025-04-06 0.003431 0.009461 0.017394 0.027535 0.039521 0.052815 0.068344
2025-04-13 0.002251 0.007944 0.015867 0.026245 0.038683 0.052600 0.068957
2025-04-20 0.001853 0.007586 0.015811 0.026717 0.039876 0.054659 0.072084
2025-04-27 0.001224 0.006785 0.015229 0.026656 0.040594 0.056356 0.075017
2025-05-04 0.000540 0.005619 0.014091 0.025897 0.040510 0.057179 0.077028
2025-05-11 0.000235 0.005053 0.013746 0.026112 0.041567 0.059296 0.080484
2025-05-18 0.000029 0.004398 0.013203 0.026033 0.042241 0.060945 0.083388
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003718 0.012548 0.025764 0.042654 0.062268 0.085895
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003164 0.012027 0.025637 0.043214 0.063739 0.088551
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002457 0.011147 0.024979 0.043087 0.064381 0.090236
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002097 0.010827 0.025064 0.043866 0.066074 0.093110
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001617 0.010196 0.024681 0.044035 0.067027 0.095117
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001110 0.009381 0.023991 0.043790 0.067469 0.096516
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000570 0.008249 0.022774 0.042832 0.067035 0.096878